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PI

Penumbra Inc (PEN)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary

Executive Summary

  • Revenue of $354.7M (+17.8% YoY; +4.5% QoQ) with gross margin at 67.8%; revenue beat consensus by ~$13.9M (4.1%) and non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.97 beat consensus by ~$0.05; GAAP diluted EPS was $1.17 . Q3 2025 Revenue Consensus Mean*: $340.8M; EPS Consensus Mean*: $0.921. Values retrieved from S&P Global.*
  • FY 2025 revenue guidance raised to $1.375B–$1.380B (from $1.355B–$1.370B in Q2; $1.340B–$1.360B in Q1); U.S. Thrombectomy growth guidance maintained at 20%–21%; gross and operating margin guidance maintained .
  • Strong U.S. performance: U.S. revenue $275.0M (+21.5% YoY); U.S. thrombectomy $192.0M (+18.5% YoY); U.S. VTE +34% YoY; U.S. embolization & access $83.0M (+29.2% YoY), aided by the new embo-dedicated sales team and RubyXL launch .
  • Strategic catalysts: Level 1 STORM-PE data published in Circulation showed CAVT superiority vs anticoagulation alone (clinical and functional endpoints); Thunderbolt 510(k) advancing with thorough responses submitted; management targets >70% gross margin by end of 2026 .

What Went Well and What Went Wrong

What Went Well

  • Broad-based growth and mix-driven margin expansion: GM 67.8% (+180 bps QoQ) on favorable product/region mix and productivity; adjusted EBITDA margin 18.8% .
  • Venous leadership and faster adoption: U.S. VTE +34% YoY led corporate growth; “the reaction to [STORM-PE] data within the medical community has been really just incredibly positive,” accelerating shifts to CAVT from older technologies .
  • Embolization execution: Dedicated 50+ embo sales team delivered 21.2% sequential embolization revenue growth; “rep team fit seamlessly,” supporting RubyXL and Swift Coil momentum (including MMA embolization) .

What Went Wrong

  • Stroke softness: Macro U.S. stroke market “showed a slight decline,” creating a drag on the neuro thrombectomy growth rate despite share gains .
  • International still mixed: International revenue +6.6% reported but only +3.0% in constant currency; China headwinds are easing but still present .
  • Near-term SG&A pressure: SG&A up $8.9M sequentially due to full quarter impact of embo team investment; expected leverage ahead as buildout completes .

Financial Results

MetricQ3 2024Q1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue ($USD Millions)$301.039 $324.140 $339.455 $354.685
GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.75 $1.00 $1.15 $1.17
Non-GAAP Diluted EPS ($)$0.85 $0.83 $0.86 $0.97
Gross Margin %66.5% 66.6% 66.0% 67.8%
Operating Income ($USD Millions)$35.364 $40.350 $40.828 $48.838
Net Income Margin %9.8% 12.1% 13.3% 12.9%
Adjusted EBITDA Margin %18.8% 18.4% 18.1% 18.8%

Segment Revenue Breakdown

SegmentQ3 2024 ($M)Q2 2025 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)
Thrombectomy$204.141 $230.256 $236.422
YoY % (reported)15.8%
Embolization & Access$96.898 $109.199 $118.263
YoY % (reported)22.0%

Geographic Revenue Breakdown

GeographyQ3 2024 ($M)Q2 2025 ($M)Q3 2025 ($M)
United States$226.326 $260.818 $275.029
YoY % (reported)21.5%
International$74.713 $78.637 $79.656
YoY % (reported / CC)6.6% / 3.0%

KPIs

KPIValue
U.S. VTE YoY growth+34%
U.S. embolization revenue$83.0M
Sequential embolization revenue growth+21.2%
Gross Profit ($M)$240.416
Cash + Marketable Investments ($M)$470.3
Sequential GM expansion (bps)+180 bps QoQ

Non-GAAP context: Adjustments include stock-based compensation, depreciation/amortization, tax impacts, litigation expenses, and immersive business wind-down/impairment; full reconciliations provided in exhibits .

Guidance Changes

MetricPeriodPrevious GuidanceCurrent GuidanceChange
Total Revenue ($B)FY 2025$1.355–$1.370 $1.375–$1.380 Raised
U.S. Thrombectomy GrowthFY 202520%–21% 20%–21% Maintained
Gross MarginFY 2025≥67% Maintained (≥67%) Maintained
Operating MarginFY 202513%–14% Maintained Maintained

Long-term target: Management remains on track to achieve >70% gross margin by end of 2026 .

Earnings Call Themes & Trends

TopicPrevious Mentions (Q-2 and Q-1)Current Period (Q3)Trend
Gross Margin TrajectoryQ2: Expect sequential GM expansion in H2; GM 66.0% . Q1: FY GM ≥67% guidance .GM 67.8%; +180 bps QoQ on mix/productivity; reaffirm long-term >70% by 2026 .Improving
U.S. Venous (PE/DVT) AdoptionQ1 U.S. thrombectomy +25% YoY . Q2 U.S. thrombectomy +22.6% YoY .STORM-PE Level 1 evidence; strong clinician reaction; shifts to CAVT; VTE +34% YoY .Accelerating
Embolization FranchiseQ1 embo & access +7.3% YoY . Q2 embo & access +13.9% YoY .New embo sales team; RubyXL launch; +21.2% sequential growth; Swift Coil MMA momentum .Strong uptrend
Stroke ThrombectomyPrior growth, but macro variability.Macro stroke market “slight decline”; Penumbra gained share; Thunderbolt poised as catalyst .Soft near-term; potential catalyst ahead
International/ChinaQ1 International -2.5% reported ; Q2 International -3.2% reported .International +6.6% reported (+3% CC); China headwind easing; expect minimal headwind early next year .Improving ex-China
Tariffs/MacroTariff impact not material; trends already absorbed .Managed headwind

Management Commentary

  • “We generated total revenue of $354.7 million…gross margin of 67.8%…operating income of $48.8 million, or 13.8% of revenue.”
  • “STORM-PE…we are highly optimistic [it] will act as a major catalyst…significantly increasing the number of patients receiving intervention with CAVT.”
  • “Our new embo-dedicated 50-plus member sales team delivered strong 21.2% sequential growth in embolization revenue in the quarter.”
  • “We are now in the stage [with Thunderbolt] where we address any final questions or provide any required clarifications.”
  • “Sequentially, our SG&A expenses increased by $8.9 million…With this buildout now complete, we are positioned to capture sales and operation leverage.”

Q&A Highlights

  • Thunderbolt FDA timeline: New product 510(k) review can take time; thorough responses submitted; team “ready to launch” upon clearance; no observed shutdown delays so far .
  • Margin drivers: Favorable regional/product mix, RubyXL yield stabilization/productivity; tariffs not material; expect sequential improvement to continue .
  • Thrombectomy growth mix: Venous and arterial strong; stroke softness is cyclical; expect ebbs/flows with innovation as catalyst .
  • International outlook: China headwinds waning; ex-China double-digit growth; minimal headwind expected early next year .
  • Market development: PERT consortium effort to expand membership; hospitals updating protocols post STORM-PE; potential expansion into smaller hospitals, DVT opportunities alongside PE .

Estimates Context

MetricQ1 2025Q2 2025Q3 2025
Revenue Consensus Mean* ($M)315.734*327.368*340.784*
Revenue Actual ($M)324.140 339.455 354.685
Revenue Surprise* ($M)+8.407*+12.087*+13.901*
Non-GAAP EPS Consensus Mean* ($)0.6667*0.8214*0.9214*
Non-GAAP EPS Actual ($)0.83 0.86 0.97
EPS Surprise* ($)+0.1633*+0.0386*+0.0486*

Values retrieved from S&P Global.*

Where estimates may adjust: upward revisions to FY revenue and embolization growth assumptions; improved GM trajectory toward ≥67% FY and into 2026; potential neuro catalyst (Thunderbolt) and faster venous adoption post STORM-PE may lift out-year growth/margin forecasts .

Key Takeaways for Investors

  • Clear top-line and EPS beats with mix-driven margin expansion; Q3 revenue +17.8% YoY, GM 67.8%, adjusted EBITDA margin 18.8% .
  • FY 2025 revenue guidance raised to $1.375B–$1.380B; thrombectomy growth, GM and OM targets maintained, signaling confidence in execution .
  • STORM-PE Level 1 evidence and clinician momentum are unlocking venous intervention growth; expect protocol updates at hospitals and broader PE/DVT treatment adoption .
  • U.S. embolization & access now a second engine of growth (RubyXL, Swift/MMA) with 29.2% YoY and 21.2% sequential gains; embo-dedicated sales force should drive durable compounding .
  • Stroke softness likely transient; Thunderbolt 510(k) could be a neuro catalyst; management remains prudent but optimistic .
  • International recovery underway ex-China; headwinds easing with expectation of minimal impact early next year .
  • Balance sheet strength (cash + marketable investments $470.3M, no debt) supports investment and optionality as mix shifts to higher-margin franchises .
Notes:
* Values retrieved from S&P Global.

Sources

  • Q3 2025 8-K and press release: revenue/margins/segment/geography, guidance, reconciliations
  • Earnings call transcript (Q3 2025): prepared remarks, Q&A (Thunderbolt, STORM-PE, margins, tariffs, international, embolization)
  • STORM-PE press releases (Oct 27, Nov 3): clinical efficacy/safety and functional outcomes; publication in Circulation
  • Prior quarters (Q1/Q2 2025) 8-Ks: revenue/margins/guidance context